USA political thoughts/questions
Nov. 7th, 2024 05:55 amI'm kind of feeling like a blog post might be useful for then moving on to other things. This is still a busy period for me, personally, but at the same time, I don't want to completely ignore national political events in the USA.
For this election, I was curious about overall voter turnout. There are a couple arenas where one of this country's major political parties really hasn't been doing a good job of paying attention/strategizing, and election commissions is one of those arenas. I'd like to think those positions should be fairly neutral, but in a country that uses an electoral college system to determine its president, well, it seems better to assume politics all the way down.
Anyway, a cursory look yesterday at voter turnouts showed me that there was relatively high turnout again for 2024, although not as high as 2020 (67% is pretty amazing). People who like to jump in and do post-mortem analyses seem to be mostly focused on which specific demographic groups seem to have changed their minds between 2020 and 2024, with some hand-wringing over how that could have happened. I was more interested to learn that in this election, the number of voters who identified as "Independents" was larger than the number of Democrats, and tied with the number of Republican voters.
To me that just reinforces a notion that the entrenched political parties in the USA really aren't speaking in a meaningful way to a substantial portion of the population. Each political party has a lot of baggage associated with it, and in many cases it's the same sort of baggage associated with both parties (corruption, scandals, etc).
I have a personal preference for making voting decisions based on track records and specific policies, but am well aware that a lot of people vote based on feelings and misguided hopes (e.g. American exceptionalism). I think quite often about a bumper sticker S had on a computer maybe 10 years back: "You are stupid and evil and you do not know that you are stupid and evil."
One concern I do have: people associated with one of the major political parties in this country have been screaming about elections being rigged against them (see: January 6 riot, 2021). Most of the evidence I've encountered suggests that it's one of those misdirection situations, where the actual cases and observed evidence of rigging suggest it's members of that political party itself that have been bad actors. But also, my understanding is that those cases are exceptionally rare, and for the most part in the post-hanging-chad era, most of the elections processes in this country are legitimate. In contrast, cases of voter registrations being purged are less rare; altogether, I remain worried that the party crying wolf is a wolf in sheep's clothing, but that idea doesn't seem to be prominent in the general discourse.
In any case, for me this election seems like a stark and painful reminder that intellectuals are a minority, as to me it seems difficult to hold a position based on logic that would favor of one of the two candidates. That does not mean it favors the other candidate, but might mean the other candidate becomes a "less-worse" option.
The outcome is also making it clear to me that I still very much live in a specific kind of social/information bubble. I'm not sure about what, exactly, I am going to do about that. Right now I'm just generally frustrated by mainstream media, mainstream social media, and the moneyed interests that manipulate them. Also by the moneyed interests, but I guess maybe we just have to acknowledge that we live in another era where robber barons are in charge again.
It seems like this election outcome is less likely to lead to protests in the way the 2016 and 2020 elections did. I need to think further about how it might change my own actions.
In the meantime, there are other immediate things on my plate to get back to, so I think I will.
For this election, I was curious about overall voter turnout. There are a couple arenas where one of this country's major political parties really hasn't been doing a good job of paying attention/strategizing, and election commissions is one of those arenas. I'd like to think those positions should be fairly neutral, but in a country that uses an electoral college system to determine its president, well, it seems better to assume politics all the way down.
Anyway, a cursory look yesterday at voter turnouts showed me that there was relatively high turnout again for 2024, although not as high as 2020 (67% is pretty amazing). People who like to jump in and do post-mortem analyses seem to be mostly focused on which specific demographic groups seem to have changed their minds between 2020 and 2024, with some hand-wringing over how that could have happened. I was more interested to learn that in this election, the number of voters who identified as "Independents" was larger than the number of Democrats, and tied with the number of Republican voters.
To me that just reinforces a notion that the entrenched political parties in the USA really aren't speaking in a meaningful way to a substantial portion of the population. Each political party has a lot of baggage associated with it, and in many cases it's the same sort of baggage associated with both parties (corruption, scandals, etc).
I have a personal preference for making voting decisions based on track records and specific policies, but am well aware that a lot of people vote based on feelings and misguided hopes (e.g. American exceptionalism). I think quite often about a bumper sticker S had on a computer maybe 10 years back: "You are stupid and evil and you do not know that you are stupid and evil."
One concern I do have: people associated with one of the major political parties in this country have been screaming about elections being rigged against them (see: January 6 riot, 2021). Most of the evidence I've encountered suggests that it's one of those misdirection situations, where the actual cases and observed evidence of rigging suggest it's members of that political party itself that have been bad actors. But also, my understanding is that those cases are exceptionally rare, and for the most part in the post-hanging-chad era, most of the elections processes in this country are legitimate. In contrast, cases of voter registrations being purged are less rare; altogether, I remain worried that the party crying wolf is a wolf in sheep's clothing, but that idea doesn't seem to be prominent in the general discourse.
In any case, for me this election seems like a stark and painful reminder that intellectuals are a minority, as to me it seems difficult to hold a position based on logic that would favor of one of the two candidates. That does not mean it favors the other candidate, but might mean the other candidate becomes a "less-worse" option.
The outcome is also making it clear to me that I still very much live in a specific kind of social/information bubble. I'm not sure about what, exactly, I am going to do about that. Right now I'm just generally frustrated by mainstream media, mainstream social media, and the moneyed interests that manipulate them. Also by the moneyed interests, but I guess maybe we just have to acknowledge that we live in another era where robber barons are in charge again.
It seems like this election outcome is less likely to lead to protests in the way the 2016 and 2020 elections did. I need to think further about how it might change my own actions.
In the meantime, there are other immediate things on my plate to get back to, so I think I will.